Personally I like what Masaad Ayoob has quoted in an article about the 1911:
"The bolt-action 1903 Springfield and 1917 Enfield .30/06 battle rifles had proven themselves splendidly rugged and accurate when sniping at enemy soldiers across the battlefield. But, when the enemy was right there in the trenches with you, ready to spear you with the blood-stained bayonet of his Mauser, these long, heavy rifles that needed a four-step process to hand-cycle another cartridge into the firing chamber were not the optimum defensive tools. The 1911 pistol, on the other hand, proved to be in its element there. Eight quick flicks of the index finger unleashed eight heavy 230-grain bullets, almost half an inch in diameter and traveling some 830 feet per second. At close range, when a single .45 slug struck the enemy in the wishbone, he tended to be immediately rendered hors de combat. To hell with bayoneted rifles, said the doughboys; this Colt .45 automatic was the ticket to getting out of the trenches alive once the enemy hordes had flowed into those trenches with you.
Countless tales of up close and personal pistol fighting emerged from WWI. The bottom line was that when Americans shot Germans with Colt .45 automatics, the Germans tended to fall down and die. When Germans shot Americans with their 9mm Luger pistols, the Americans tended to become indignant and kill the German who shot them, and then walk to an aid station to either die a lingering death or recover completely. Thus was born the reputation of the .45 automatic as a “legendary manstopper,” and the long-standing American conviction that the 9mm automatic was an impotent wimp thing that would make your wife a widow if you trusted your life to it
Then came WWII. The .45 automatic was the standard military weapon then as well. Used heavily in both theaters of the war, it was particularly valued in the Pacific, where Japanese sappers tended to infiltrate through the wires and be on top of the Yank soldier with knife in hand when the American woke up to deal with it. And the legend of the .45 as the “one shot, one kill” weapon was reinforced. It did not hurt that reputation that the average target in the Pacific was a rice-fed, half-starved biped who weighed about 130 pounds.
Then came Korea, and then Vietnam. Nothing happened to change the image of the .45 automatic as a deadly manstopper. In the mid-1980s, several trends converged upon the one firearm that had served the American military the longest. NATO was pushing the USA for complete compatibility in small arms ammo, and every other nation carried 9mm pistols. Except for target pistols for the pistol teams, the US government had not purchased new 1911s since before the Korean War, and the old guns were getting pretty clapped out. Finally, it is said, the Pentagon wanted cruise missiles in Italy and Italy wanted a lucrative US military contract in return. In any case, it was at that time that the United States armed services adopted the Italian Beretta Model 92F, caliber 9mm, as the official US service handgun that would be designated the M9 and would replace the 1911.
Fast forward to the present. When the War Against Terrorism went into the caves of Afghanistan, pistols became the weapons of choice for soldiers working on point in very close quarters. It became apparent that the 9mm with full metal jacket Geneva Convention ammo was as impotent as it was in WWI, with Al-Queda fanatics soaking up several rounds before they gave up the ghost. Those Yanks fortunate enough to have .45s—Army Delta Force, who purchase their own 1911s out of a stipend provided, and all the Special Operations Command elite who have access to the HK SOCOM pistol in that caliber—found that one or two full metal jacket .45 hardball rounds were all it took to drop a terrorist in his tracks. The call went out again: “We need .45s.”
What goes around comes around. Santayana was right. Those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it".
My take is if you need hi capacity to get the job done - then you need to improve on your pistol skills. Most defensive pistol sitituation happen at close range anyways. You should not need that many rounds to get the job done.
I picked 9mm. Why?
1) I have tiny kid hands.
2) .45 means either less rounds or larger frame.
3) #1 means it's really just less rounds.
4) Statistically, 1/2 of the people you need to shoot at will stop and run with 1 shot, no matter what caliber you use
5) The other 1/2 is very statistically likely to take more then 2 no matter what handgun caliber you use.
6) Statistically I need 2.3 - 2.8 (3 either way) hits before the other guy stops.
7) Square range accuracy goes to shit in a situation where you actually have to shoot.
8) If I can guarantee a 50% hit ratio then I would want at least 6 rounds or 5+1 for the guy.
9) I can't actually guarantee a 50% hit ratio.
10) What if there are 2 (or more) guys?
Its been said thousands of times a 9mm might expand but a 45 will never shrink.
The bullet may not shrink, but the entrance wound may not be .45". A FMJ bullet doesn't always put a .45" hole into the skin and tissue of a human. It can be .40" or less.
Fair enough point Mike, but aside from military, who's going to be running fmj's???
Some folks in NJ, possibly others who have 1911's that are set up to the USGI specs. Some of those guns don't reliably feed JHPs without some "help". Another group would be people who can't afford high priced designer JHPs and the 50-200 that they should fire out of their gun to make sure it functions 100%.
Point taken, I forgot all about NJ's namby-pamby ammo requirement.
THIS. Very well said. I'm not familiar with the exact statistics you point to, but logically, it's shot placement that counts and the more chances you have at hitting the right spots the better. "One shot, one kill" is obsolete. If you happen to kill an attacker with one, count yourself lucky as far as I'm concerned. I'd rather be prepared for more if needed.
When I carried a Colt Commander, I carried Winchester Ranger JHP ammo, and 2 spare magazines. But over time I learned that I'd rather carry a G19 with 16 rounds in the gun and 17 or 34 spare rounds in my spare mag carrier/pocket. Sure a double stack .45 is awesome but heavy and expensive to practice with...
ETA: When at home I have a rifle or shotgun by the bed at night as well as my G19. If I had my pick, a long gun is always going to work better. Until I get my HK45 (and can afford to practice a lot with it) I'll stick with 9mm sidearms.